Forecasters monitoring disturbance in central Atlantic Ocean

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure situated several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands that has a medium chance of development. 

Environmental conditions are conducive for “gradual development of this system” over the next few days as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and into the Caribbean Sea, a National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 8 a.m. Wednesday advises. 

The National Hurricane Center says that odds of two-day and five-day development are 30 percent and 50 percent, respectively. 

Another disturbance about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has a 10 percent chance of development through five days. 

The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1 and ends on November 30. 

The season peaks in September, and 80 percent of named storms between 1981 and 2010 have formed between August and October, according to The Weather Channel. 

For maps and additional information, visit Weather Underground’s tropical activity page.