Political analysts do not expect a close contest when voters in New Jersey cast their ballots for president in November.
That does not bode well for apparent GOP nominee Donald Trump.
Montclair State University political science professor Brigid Harrison said New Jersey has voted Democratic in every presidential election since Ronald Reagan was in the White House.
“I think the state’s frustration with a Republican governor, Chris Christie, will carry over into the presidential election,” Harrison said. “And I also think that Hillary Clinton, who is kind of the adopted daughter of neighboring New York, will make significant headway in the state of New Jersey.”
Seton Hall political science professor Matthew Hale said Trump is well known in New Jersey, but believes it will be a long shot for him to win the state unless Clinton, his likely rival, makes a major stumble in the campaign.
“Trump is probably going to make a big push in Pennsylvania. That can creep over into Southern New Jersey, so he might have more media down there,” Hall said. “But it’s an increasingly blue state, and I think he’s going to have a rough road here.”
Fairleigh Dickinson University political scientist Peter Woolley said Trump’s chances of beating Clinton in the Garden State are dismal.
“He’s not only going to run behind the Democrats, but he’s going to run behind women voters in general in both parties,” Woolley said. “There just aren’t enough angry white men in New Jersey for Trump to pull out a victory.”