A meandering non-tropical low pressure system off the South Carolina coast Thursday morning is expected to directly impact the Southeastern U.S. but spare New Jersey of any direct impacts, forecasters say.
As of this morning, showers and thunderstorms are becoming more organized about 220 miles off the South Carolina-North Carolina border, according to the National Hurricane Service.
If a tropical storm develops, it will be named Ana, the first cyclone of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season.
Global forecasting models indicate that the system will make landfall somewhere between southern North Carolina and northern South Carolina Friday or during the early weekend, delivering heavy rain and high surf.
“For people along the Southeastern coast, this storm’s weather conditions will be similar to a developing modest nor’easter,” said AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Henry Margusity.
By early next week, heavy rain is possible in New Jersey courtesy of a slow frontal passage loaded with gulf moisture and the remnants of the system currently off the southeastern coast, according to the National Weather Service.
The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1, but storms can form earlier. Tropical Storms Alberto and Beryl formed in May 2012.
But an expert says that doesn’t mean this season will be active.
“There is no correlation between a tropical storm or hurricane prior to June and an above-average hurricane season,” said AccuWeather.com Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.
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