Thunderstorms might develop ahead of a cold front at the Jersey Shore Tuesday evening, and some could become severe, forecasters say.
Mostly sunny skies will continue for the remainder of daylight hours on Tuesday. Shower and thunderstorm chances, which NOAA currently pegs at 40%, begin after sunset.
The National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center places the Jersey Shore in the “marginal” risk category for severe thunderstorm development, meaning a chance of “severe storms of either limited organization and longevity, or very low coverage and marginal intensity.”
The Storm Prediction Center places a greater chance of severe storms inland to the north and west.
NOAA defines a severe thunderstorm as producing hail at least one of the following: hail at one-inch in diameter, a wind gust of 58 miles per hour or greater, or a tornado.
There’s a zero percent chance of a tornado at the Jersey Shore and a five percent chance of wind gusts at severe levels.
Wednesday’s weather will feature occasional showers and possibly a thundestorm. Skies will begin clearing on Thursday, leading to pleasant conditions on Friday and the weekend.