Stormy Thursday: Here’s what to expect

A stormy day at the Jersey Shore is ahead on Thursday.

Heavy rain and strong winds are likely throughout the entire area. Rain will overspread the area late Wednesday, lasting through Thursday evening.

Here are the details of what the National Weather Service expects, including likelihood of each threat:

Heavy Rainfall – Rain will overspread the region late tonight and continue into Thursday evening. The rain is expected to be heavy at times from the late morning into the afternoon hours, especially with any thunderstorms that occur. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated 3 inch amounts are forecast. There is potential for flooding on area creeks and streams and in poor drainage and urban areas during and shortly after the heavy rainfall. Confidence is HIGH in the occurrence of heavy rainfall, MODERATE in rainfall amounts, and LOW in placement of highest rainfall.

Severe Weather – There is a chance of severe thunderstorms on Thursday, mainly in the Delmarva Peninsula and far southern New Jersey. Damaging winds are the main threat. Confidence is LOW in the occurrence of severe weather and HIGH in damaging winds being the primary threat.

Strong Winds – There is the potential for wind gusts up to 45 mph on Thursday across eastern New Jersey and portions of Delmarva, especially during midday or the afternoon. Confidence is HIGH in the occurrence of strong winds.

Coastal Flooding/Beach Erosion – Minor tidal flooding is possible w/Thursday afternoon’s high tide along the coast of Ocean, Monmouth and Middlesex Counties. In addition, strong onshore winds and battering waves will likely cause minor to moderate beach erosion. Confidence is MODERATE in the occurrence of minor tidal flooding.

River Flooding Risk (at the Jersey Shore, this covers interior Monmouth County) – Confidence is MODERATE that a number of river forecast points in the Flood Watch area will reach flood stage. However, confidence is LOW with the exact severity of flooding.