Romney to raise money, but not campaign in Philadelphia Friday

    It seems Mitt Romney has finally figured out something for Pennsylvania Republicans to do – write checks.

    UPDATED THURSDAY: The Romney campaign has announced he will appear at a “victory rally” Friday morning at the Valley Forge Military Academy in Wayne, Pa.

    Colby Itkowitz of the Allentown Morning Call’s Washington bureau reports that Romney will be at the Union League in Philadelphia Friday for a fundraiser, but at this point plans no public appearances.

    That approach would be consistent with the now widely-reported idea that the Romney campaign has given up hope of winning the keystone state. The campaign and its allied super-PACs have stopped advertising here, and a slew of polls show Romney trailing Obama.

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    The latest, a Franklin & Marshall poll survey today shows Obama with a double-digit lead, 50-39.

    For the record, I’ll just say I don’t think a Romney surge here is out of the question. He’s had a bad run lately and suffered from some self-inflicted wounds, but things can change. If he pulls off a good performance in the first debate and some unexpected news event breaks his way, the race could tighten.

    On the other side, New York Times’ data guru Nate Silver had a piece yesterday noting that if you look back all the way to 1936, presidential polls even this far in advance of presidential elections have mostly predicted the winner. Read about it here.

    The Franklin & Marshall poll, by the way, shows incumbent Pennsylvania Democratic Senator Bob Casey 12 points ahead of Republican Tom Smith, and Gov. Tom Corbett’s popularity sagging.

    Read the Franklin and Marshall College poll released September 26, 2012.


    Franklin and Marshall College Poll Release9 26 12 (PDF) Franklin and Marshall College Poll Release9 26 12 (Text)

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