November warmth: Indian summer through most of the upcoming week
EURO model 850 mb temperature output for Wednesday afternoon, indicating warm temperatures across New Jersey. (Image: Weather Underground)
Don’t put the flip flops away just yet.
Most of the first week of November will feature temperatures much warmer than average and dry conditions, according to the National Weather Service.
“Calendar day averages Monday should be around 7 degrees above normal, then around 10 degrees or more above normal Tuesday through Friday, and still 5 degrees or more above normal Saturday,” a meteorologist from the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly wrote in this morning’s forecast discussion.
In fact, maximum temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday could possibly be 15 degrees above normal.
In Toms River, the normal temperature for the first week of November is around 60 degrees, according to the Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist.
The National Weather Service defines Indian summer as “an abnormally warm and dry weather period, varying in length, that comes in the autumn time of the year, usually in October or November, and only after the first killing frost/freeze. There may be several occurrences of Indian summer in a fall season or none at all.”
According to forecasters, it’s due to the jet stream keeping a cooler air mass in Canada and warmer air flowing in from the south.
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