Could Republican Christine O’Donnell pull a major upset over nine-time Congressman Michael Castle? The latest poll numbers show the race is too close to call.
With one day to go until Primary Day, Delaware’s top race is very close.
Public Policy Polling’s latest survey of 668 likely Republican voters shows Christine O’Donnell leading Michael Castle 47% to 44% with 8% undecided. The poll’s margin of error is 3.8%, which is greater than O’Donnell’s lead, which is why the polling firm has declared Tuesday’s primary “too close to call.” O’Donnell was cautiously optimistic about her chances, but warned supporters not to get over confident. “We’re not popping any champagne corks just yet cause polls at the polling places haven’t closed yet, and there are still a lot of undecideds,” O’Donnell said.
The results reflect a recent surge in support from O’Donnell from national groups like the Tea Party Express and former candidate for Vice President, Sarah Palin. The tone of the campaign has become uglier as the primary approached, with both sides, and some surrogate groups, flooding the airwaves with negative ads.
This is the first time the primary match up between Castle and O’Donnell has been polled. Previous polls had only examined the general election, hypothetically pitting Castle or O’Donnell against Democratic nominee Chris Coons. The last such poll done by Rasmussen Reports released last week showed Castle leading Coons 48 to 37 percent. In the hypothetical contest between Coons and O’Donnell, Coons held a 47 to 36 percent lead.
Public Policy Polling president Dean Debnam says, “The biggest winner of the Delaware GOP primary may end up being Chris Coons. Running against O’Donnell or a wounded Castle will put him in his strongest position since he entered the race.
In the race to replace Congressman Castle in the U.S. House, Glen Urquhart leads Michele Rollins by a wider margin, 50% to 38% with nine percent undecided. Urquhart may be the beneficiary of an effort to galvanize conservative Republican voters. Rollins, just like Castle, has the endorsement of the Republican party.
Polls are open on Tuesday from 7 AM until 8 PM. Find complete details on the candidates at WHYY”s election page.