Isolated severe thunderstorms possible later Monday

     A thunderstorm over Asbury Park in late April 2014 by Blur Revision Media Design.

    A thunderstorm over Asbury Park in late April 2014 by Blur Revision Media Design.

    Thunderstorms are possible later Monday at the Jersey Shore as a cold front approaches from the west and enters an area of atmospheric instability, forecasters say. 

    After a foggy morning, sunshine will become more prevalent through the early afternoon hours as a warm front moves north through New Jersey.

    Temperatures will climb into the 70s, and humidity will increase. Winds will become gusty to around 30 miles per hour near the coast.

    As the cold front approaches, showers and thunderstorms could trigger due to the unstable conditions. Some could reach severe levels — with the biggest threat damaging winds gusts — but the severity likelihood decreases toward the coastline. 

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    The National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center places the area in the “marginal risk” category for severe thunderstorm development, meaning a chance of “severe storms of either limited organization and longevity, or very low coverage and marginal intensity.”

    NOAA defines a severe thunderstorm as producing hail at least one of the following: hail at one-inch in diameter, a wind gust of 58 miles per hour or greater, or a tornado. 

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