The Jersey Shore and the greater region are not likely to experience extended below normal temperatures for “at least” the next two weeks, forecasters say.
After a quick temperature drop late weekend into early next week, they’re likely to rebound and continue mild through at least early October.
“So while there may be a two or at most, three day string of below normal temperatures between Sunday and Tuesday, that is not likely to be enough to prevent a third consecutive top ten warmest month for the NWS Mount Holly forecast area,” a National Weather Service meteorologist in the Mount Holly office wrote in this morning’s forecast discussion.
The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 40% to 50% probability of above normal temperatures between Sept. 27 and Oct. 3.
But that doesn’t imply summer-like heat.
In Toms River, the normal temperature for the last week of September and first week of October is the lower 70s, according to the Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist.
The latest GFS ensemble modeling indicates temperatures just slightly above normal through early October, or seasonable conditions.
The National Weather Service is projecting the sixth warmest September in Atlantic City on record dating back to 1874. Atlantic City recorded the seventh warmest July on record, followed by the warmest ever August.