Sunday will be the pick of the weekend following periods of soaking rain en route to the Jersey Shore late Friday afternoon.
As of 4:30 p.m. Friday, rain is nearing Cape May County and will overspread the remainder of the Shore during the evening.
The National Weather Service expects the heaviest rain to fall between Friday night and midday Saturday. Thunderstorms with strong winds are also possible, with the highest risk on Friday night.
Forecasters expect showers to start tapering off Saturday afternoon. For Saturday night, NOAA pins the shower chance at 40%.
In a Friday afternoon weather briefing, the National Weather Service forecasts up to an inch of rain in northern Monmouth County, progressively increasing toward Cape May County, where the possibility exists for between four to to six inches of rain.
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May counties through Saturday afternoon.
Winds out of the northeast will be gusting more than 30 miles per hour Saturday and sustained up to around 30 miles per hour at night. Breezy conditions will continue on Sunday, with a northeast wind up to around 25 miles per hour.
The National Weather Service does not expect tidal flooding to reach the minor stage but at least minor beach erosion is likely.
The current NOAA forecast calls for mostly cloudy skies on Sunday, but that could change to more favorable conditions depending on how quickly the system moves away.