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New poll shows DE Senate race within 10 points

Friday, October 29th, 2010



A poll of nearly 1,200 likely Delaware voters showed the Delaware Senate race between Chris Coons (D) and Christine O’Donnell (R) getting closer.  The Monmouth University poll done between October 25 and 27 found Coons had support of 51% compared to O’Donnell’s 41%.  A Monmouth poll done two weeks ago found Coons with 57% compared to O’Donnell’s 36%.

Poll director Patrick Murray says, “While Coons still has the advantage, it has to be uncomfortable knowing that O’Donnell was able t o shave nine points off his lead in just two weeks.  The interesting thing is that while her vote total has risen, the majority of Delaware voters still say she is unqualified for the post.”  Just 35% of voters polled say O’Donnell is qualified to be Delaware’s next Senator, while 65% say Coons is qualified.  The poll was done between October 25 to 27, and has a margin of error of +/- 2.9%.

The Monmouth poll shows a much closer race than a poll done by Fairleigh Dickinson University.  The FDU/Public Mind poll showed Coons with a 21-point advantage over O’Donnell, 57% to 36%.  That poll surveyed 797 randomly selected voters from October 20 to 26, and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

The Public Mind poll also asked voters who they supported in the U.S. House race between John Carney (D) and Glen Urquhart (R).  Those results, which were released today, show Carney with a 17-point lead over Urquhart, 53% to 36%.  Director of the FDU poll Peter Woolley says the Urquhart does well with voters who disapprove of the president and with those who like the Tea Party movement, but in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans nearly two to one, that may not be enough.  ”The risk of upsetting a primary race by running hard from the right, is that you hit a wall in the general election,” Woolley said.  The Momouth poll also found the House race to be a bit closer, with Carney leading Urquhart by just seven points, 51% to 44%.

The Fairleigh Dickinson poll also examined the races further down the ticket and found that the State Treasurer’s race is still the closest of fall.  In the poll, Chip Flowers (D) leads Colin Bonini (R) 42% to 41%, with 17% unsure.   Both candidates had support from 38% of voters in a poll earlier this month.  (You can view a video profile of this race by clicking here.)

Even further down the ballot, the FDU poll shows incumbent State Auditor Tom Wagner (R) leading challenger Richard Korn (D) 46% to 36%.  Incumbent Attorney General Beau Biden (D) leads independent challenger Doug Campbell 64% to 26%.  There is no Republican in the AG’s race.


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